Third League - Southwest · Southwest - 10
CSKA Sofia III1–0Kostinbrod
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Southwest
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
CSKA Sofia III vs Kostinbrod: match review and analysis
CSKA Sofia III vs Kostinbrod in Third League - Southwest on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
CSKA Sofia III recorded 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Kostinbrod recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 11 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | CSKA Sofia III | Kostinbrod |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
CSKA Sofia III: (1.12 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kostinbrod: (1.16 weighted goals scored + 0.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
CSKA Sofia III recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Levski Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Slavia Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KyustendilThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Strumska SlavaThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| OborishteThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KostinbrodThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Vitosha BistritsaThird League - Southwest | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from CSKA Sofia III’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kostinbrod recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BelasitsaThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Levski Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Slavia Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KyustendilThird League - Southwest | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CSKA Sofia IIIThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kostinbrod’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Southwest — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kostinbrod are ranked 8 in Southwest, with 15 points from 10 games.
CSKA Sofia III are ranked 10 in Southwest, with 12 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 23 |
| 2 | Oborishte | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Bansko | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Septemvri Sofia II | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Balkan Botevgrad | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Kostinbrod | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia III | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Levski Sofia II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Septemvri Simitli | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Slivnishki geroy | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Belasitsa | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Chavdar Etropole | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.