Premier League · Regular Season - 12
Briton Ferry1–0Colwyn Bay
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Old Road
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay: match review and analysis
Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay in Premier League on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Briton Ferry recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 19. Colwyn Bay recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 19 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Briton Ferry | Colwyn Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Briton Ferry: (0.85 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Colwyn Bay: (2.10 weighted goals scored + 1.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Briton Ferry recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HolywellPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TrefelinPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PenybontPremier League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Haverfordwest County AFCPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Airbus UKPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Barry TownPremier League | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Cardiff METPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Flint Town UnitedPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| The New SaintsPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cambrian & ClydachPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Briton Ferry’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Colwyn Bay recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haverfordwest County AFCPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Barry TownPremier League | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| HolywellPremier League | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| GAP Connah S Quay FCPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| PenybontPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LlandudnoPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| The New SaintsPremier League | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Airbus UKPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Caernarfon TownPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ammanford AFCPremier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Colwyn Bay’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Colwyn Bay are ranked 6 in Premier League, with 22 points from 12 games.
Briton Ferry are ranked 11 in Premier League, with 12 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 5 | 33 | 34 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 32 | -23 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 30 | -25 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 38 | -25 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.