Premier League · Regular Season - 12
Haverfordwest County AFC0–1Flint Town United
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Bridge Meadow Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Flint Town United: match review and analysis
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Flint Town United in Premier League on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Haverfordwest County AFC recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Flint Town United recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 9 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Haverfordwest County AFC | Flint Town United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Haverfordwest County AFC: (0.86 weighted goals scored + 2.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Flint Town United: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 1.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Haverfordwest County AFC recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff METPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Colwyn BayPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HolywellPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Briton FerryPremier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| GAP Connah S Quay FCPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TrefelinPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| LlandudnoPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Cambrian & ClydachPremier League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PenybontPremier League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| The New SaintsPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Haverfordwest County AFC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Flint Town United recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammanford AFCPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Airbus UKPremier League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| The New SaintsPremier League | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Cardiff METPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Caernarfon TownPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| GAP Connah S Quay FCPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PenybontPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Briton FerryPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cambrian & ClydachPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Barry TownPremier League | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Flint Town United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Haverfordwest County AFC are ranked 12 in Premier League, with 10 points from 12 games.
Flint Town United are ranked 13 in Premier League, with 8 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 5 | 33 | 34 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 32 | -23 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 30 | -25 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 38 | -25 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.