League One · Regular Season - 9
Ross County4–1Alloa Athletic
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League One
- Venue
- Global Energy Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–1
- 90-minute score
- 4–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ross County vs Alloa Athletic: match review and analysis
Ross County vs Alloa Athletic in League One on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ross County recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 45 and conceding 11. Alloa Athletic recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 18 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ross County | Alloa Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 45 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ross County: (5.46 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Alloa Athletic: (1.65 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ross County recent form
4.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts U21Challenge Cup | Home | 14–0 | Won | |
| ClachnacuddinChallenge Cup | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| Cove RangersLeague One | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Queen of the SouthLeague One | Home | 8–0 | Won | |
| HibernianLeague Cup | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Aberdeen U21Challenge Cup | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| East FifeLeague One | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| East KilbrideLeague One | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Banks O' DeeChallenge Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Airdrie UnitedLeague One | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Ross County’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Alloa Athletic recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gala Fairydean RoversChallenge Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hibernian U21Challenge Cup | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| East KilbrideLeague One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Airdrie UnitedLeague One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ClydebankChallenge Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cove RangersLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PeterheadLeague One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Motherwell U21Challenge Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Queen of the SouthLeague One | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| MontroseLeague One | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Alloa Athletic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ross County are ranked 1 in Division2, with 22 points from 8 games.
Alloa Athletic are ranked 6 in Division2, with 9 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 5 | 21 | 22 |
| 2 | Hamilton Academical | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Montrose | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 5 | Airdrie United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | East Fife | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Peterhead | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 9 | Queen of the South | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 7 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.