League Two · Regular Season - 9
Accrington ST2–0Cheltenham
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League Two
- Venue
- The Crown Ground
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Accrington ST vs Cheltenham: match review and analysis
Accrington ST vs Cheltenham in League Two on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Accrington ST recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 19. Cheltenham recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 19 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Accrington ST | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Accrington ST: (1.61 weighted goals scored + 1.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.59 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cheltenham: (1.92 weighted goals scored + 1.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Accrington ST recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon TownLeague Two | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sunderland U21EFL Trophy | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Newport CountyLeague Two | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BarnetLeague Two | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Crawley TownLeague Two | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| GrimsbyLeague Two | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| WalsallLeague Two | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Exeter CityLeague Two | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ColchesterLeague Two | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CreweLeague Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Accrington ST’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cheltenham recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChesterfieldLeague Two | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Exeter CityEFL Trophy | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ColchesterLeague Two | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Crawley TownLeague Two | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| GrimsbyLeague Two | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| YorkLeague Two | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| BarnetLeague Two | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Swindon TownLeague Two | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| RotherhamLeague Two | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CharltonLeague Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Cheltenham’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League Two — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cheltenham are ranked 4 in League Two, with 15 points from 9 games.
Accrington ST are ranked 16 in League Two, with 10 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Crewe | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | York | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
| 11 | Rochdale | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport County | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 16 | Accrington ST | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 10 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 20 | Exeter City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 21 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.