League Two · Regular Season - 9
Salford City1–0Fleetwood Town
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League Two
- Venue
- Moor Lane
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Salford City vs Fleetwood Town: match review and analysis
Salford City vs Fleetwood Town in League Two on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Salford City recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Fleetwood Town recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Salford City | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Salford City: (1.49 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Fleetwood Town: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 1.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.14 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Salford City recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OldhamLeague Two | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Sheffield WednesdayEFL Trophy | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Swindon TownLeague Two | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| RotherhamLeague Two | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Port ValeLeague Two | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Newport CountyLeague Two | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ShrewsburyLeague Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ChesterfieldLeague Two | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BarnetLeague Two | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ShrewsburyLeague Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Salford City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Fleetwood Town recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RochdaleLeague Two | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| OldhamEFL Trophy | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BarnetLeague Two | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sheffield UtdLeague Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Newport CountyLeague Two | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ShrewsburyLeague Two | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| OldhamLeague Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GrimsbyLeague Two | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ShrewsburyLeague Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| GillinghamLeague Two | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Fleetwood Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League Two — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Salford City are ranked 1 in League Two, with 16 points from 9 games.
Fleetwood Town are ranked 18 in League Two, with 10 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Crewe | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | York | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
| 11 | Rochdale | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport County | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 16 | Accrington ST | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 10 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 20 | Exeter City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 21 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.