FA Cup · 3rd Round Qualifying
Bury2–1Bromsgrove Sporting
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FA Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Bury vs Bromsgrove Sporting: match review and analysis
Bury vs Bromsgrove Sporting in FA Cup on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Bury recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 32 and conceding 10. Bromsgrove Sporting recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 17 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bury | Bromsgrove Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 32 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bury: (3.74 weighted goals scored + 0.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bromsgrove Sporting: (1.68 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bury recent form
3.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainsborough TrinityFA Trophy | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| WorkingtonFA Cup | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| AFC EmleyNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Wythenshawe AmateursFA Cup | Home | 8–0 | Won | |
| Hyde UnitedNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Lancaster CityNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Gainsborough TrinityNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Guiseley AFCNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| RylandsNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Bury’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bromsgrove Sporting recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeamingtonNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Racing Club WarwickFA Trophy | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Stratford TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Leek TownFA Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bury TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nuneaton TownFA Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Worcester CityNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bishop's StortfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Redditch UnitedNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Anstey NomadsNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Bromsgrove Sporting’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FA Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.