Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · Group 15 - 5
Avance Ezcabarte4–1Cantolagua
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–1
- 90-minute score
- 4–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Avance Ezcabarte vs Cantolagua: match review and analysis
Avance Ezcabarte vs Cantolagua in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Avance Ezcabarte recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Cantolagua recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 9 scored and 26 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Avance Ezcabarte | Cantolagua |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 26 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Avance Ezcabarte: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 2.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cantolagua: (0.73 weighted goals scored + 1.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Avance Ezcabarte recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MutilveraTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SubizaTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Beti OnakTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TxantreaTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| San JuanFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Beti OnakTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AoizTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ArdoiTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Beti KozkorTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Peña SportTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Avance Ezcabarte’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cantolagua recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valle EgüésTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Gazte BerriakTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HuarteTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Doneztebe FTTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| PamplonaTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| CirboneroTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CortesTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Valle EgüésTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TxantreaTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| San JuanTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Cantolagua’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Avance Ezcabarte are ranked 6 in Tercera: Group 15, with 8 points from 5 games.
Cantolagua are ranked 17 in Tercera: Group 15, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izarra | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 16 | 15 |
| 2 | Mutilvera | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Gazte Berriak | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Beti Kozkor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Aoiz | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Avance Ezcabarte | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Subiza | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | San Juan | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Doneztebe FT | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Beti Onak | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Valle Egüés | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Txantrea | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 |
| 13 | Huarte | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Pamplona | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Cortes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 4 |
| 16 | Bidezarra | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 17 | Cantolagua | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 | Cirbonero | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.