Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 5
Ceares1–2San Martín
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ceares vs San Martín: match review and analysis
Ceares vs San Martín in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ceares recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 18. San Martín recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 9 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ceares | San Martín |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ceares: (1.81 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
San Martín: (0.90 weighted goals scored + 1.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ceares recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SieroTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ColungaTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| CaudalTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LangreoTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SieroTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| NavarroTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Gijón IndustrialTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PravianoTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| LenenseTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| San MartínTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ceares’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
San Martín recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AsturTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AndesTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CondalTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Gijón IndustrialTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LlanesTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sporting Gijón IITercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| L'EntreguTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ColungaTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| MosconiaTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CearesTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from San Martín’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
San Martín are ranked 11 in Tercera: Group 2, with 5 points from 5 games.
Ceares are ranked 14 in Tercera: Group 2, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Covadonga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Sporting Gijón II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Mosconia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Condal | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Colunga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Caudal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Siero | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Langreo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Gijón Industrial | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Lealtad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | San Martín | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 12 | Praviano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | L'Entregu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Ceares | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Llanes | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Avilés Stadium | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Astur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Andes | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.