Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · Group 8 - 5
Turégano1–1Arandina
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 7 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Turégano vs Arandina: match review and analysis
Turégano vs Arandina in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Turégano recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 7 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 12. Arandina recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 16 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Turégano | Arandina |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Turégano: (0.70 weighted goals scored + 1.46 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.08 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Arandina: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 1.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 7 GAMES
Turégano recent form
0.71 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. 4 of 7 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unionistas IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| La Virgen del CaminoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GuijueloTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Atlético MansillésTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Celta VigoCopa del Rey | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| SanturtziCopa del Rey | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| VelardeCopa del Rey | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Turégano’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 7 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Arandina recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calasanz de SoriaTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Salamanca IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| UD Santa MartaTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Becerril CamposTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| UD Santa MartaTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| La Virgen del CaminoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Atlético MansillésTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Arandina’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Arandina are ranked 8 in Tercera: Group 8, with 8 points from 5 games.
Turégano are ranked 15 in Tercera: Group 8, with 2 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burgos Promesas | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | UD Santa Marta | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Atlético Mansillés | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bembibre | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Cristo Atlético | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Cultural Leonesa II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | La Virgen del Camino | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Arandina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Almazán | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Palencia CF | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Calasanz de Soria | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Villaralbo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 | Salamanca II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Guijuelo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Turégano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 | Unionistas II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 |
| 17 | Mirandés II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Colegios Diocesanos | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.