Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Group 18 - 5
Villacañas1–2Toledo
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Villacañas vs Toledo: match review and analysis
Villacañas vs Toledo in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Villacañas recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Toledo recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 18 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Villacañas | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Villacañas: (0.90 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Toledo: (1.81 weighted goals scored + 0.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Villacañas recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San ClementeTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AlmansaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ManchegoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Huracán BalazoteTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| VillarrobledoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Albacete IITercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| La SolanaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ToledoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| CazalegasTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Huracán BalazoteTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Villacañas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Toledo recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La SolanaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| NoblejasTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| VillarrubiaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Quintanar del ReyTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Albacete IITercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Albacete IITercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PedroñerasTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Calvo SoteloTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| San ClementeTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| VillacañasTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Toledo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Toledo are ranked 5 in Tercera: Group 18, with 10 points from 5 games.
Villacañas are ranked 10 in Tercera: Group 18, with 7 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarrobledo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Torrijos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | CD Villa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Marchamalo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Tarancón | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Almansa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Villacañas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Noblejas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | San Clemente | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Socuéllamos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | La Solana | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Villarrubia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Guadalajara II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Huracán Balazote | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.