Copa del Rey · 1/128-finals
Baztán1–2Atletico Calatayud
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 3 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa del Rey
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Baztán vs Atletico Calatayud: match review and analysis
Baztán vs Atletico Calatayud in Copa del Rey on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Baztán recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Atletico Calatayud recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 3 scored and 7 conceded across 3 games.
| Statistic | Baztán | Atletico Calatayud |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 3 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 3 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 3 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Baztán: (0.74 weighted goals scored + 2.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Atletico Calatayud: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 1.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Baztán recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico CalatayudCopa del Rey | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| OntiñenaCopa del Rey | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| River EgaTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Beti OnakTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CorellanoTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TxantreaTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| SubizaTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| River EgaTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Beti OnakTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CorellanoTercera División RFEF - Group 15 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Baztán’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 3 GAMES
Atletico Calatayud recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. 3 of 3 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BaztánCopa del Rey | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sant JustCopa del Rey | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Sant JustCopa del Rey | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Atletico Calatayud’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 3 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa del Rey — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.