Canadian Premier League · Group Stage
York United3–1Cavalry FC
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Canadian Premier League
- Venue
- York Lions Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- 3–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
York United vs Cavalry FC: match review and analysis
York United vs Cavalry FC in Canadian Premier League on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
York United recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 23. Cavalry FC recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 25 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | York United | Cavalry FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 23 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
York United: (2.33 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cavalry FC: (2.40 weighted goals scored + 2.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
York United recent form
2.10 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| HFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Pacific FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| ForgeCanadian Premier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Supra du QuebecCanadian Premier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Pacific FCCanadian Premier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from York United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cavalry FC recent form
2.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Supra du QuebecCanadian Premier League | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| ForgeCanadian Premier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Pacific FCCanadian Premier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| HFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| ForgeCanadian Premier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Supra du QuebecCanadian Premier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| York UnitedCanadian Premier League | Home | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Cavalry FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Canadian Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cavalry FC are ranked 1 in Canadian Premier League, with 53 points from 25 games.
York United are ranked 7 in Canadian Premier League, with 27 points from 25 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalry FC | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 53 |
| 2 | Forge | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 51 |
| 3 | Atlético Ottawa | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 40 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 33 |
| 5 | Supra du Quebec | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 31 |
| 6 | HFX Wanderers FC | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 27 |
| 7 | York United | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 27 |
| 8 | Pacific FC | 25 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.