Liga Premier Serie A · Apertura - 6
Mineros de Fresnillo3–0Atlético Saltillo
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Premier Serie A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–0
- 90-minute score
- 3–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Atlético Saltillo: match review and analysis
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Atlético Saltillo in Liga Premier Serie A on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Mineros de Fresnillo recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 8. Atlético Saltillo recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mineros de Fresnillo | Atlético Saltillo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mineros de Fresnillo: (1.45 weighted goals scored + 2.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Atlético Saltillo: (1.36 weighted goals scored + 0.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mineros de Fresnillo recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaqueros ReynosaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Héroes de ZaciLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC SantiagoLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Correcaminos UAT IILiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Real ApodacaLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CimarronesLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CimarronesLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DurangoLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Reboceros La PiedadLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| ColimaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Mineros de Fresnillo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Atlético Saltillo recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Héroes de ZaciLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC SantiagoLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Correcaminos UAT IILiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Real ApodacaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| La Tribu de Cd. JuarezLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Leones NegrosLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Tritons VallartaLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ColimaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| TecosLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Correcaminos UAT IILiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Atlético Saltillo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Premier Serie A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mineros de Fresnillo are ranked 4 in Liga Premier Serie A, with 11 points from 6 games.
Atlético Saltillo are ranked 6 in Liga Premier Serie A, with 8 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 1 | Artesanos Metepec | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Acatlan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Halcones Negros | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 10 |
| 4 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Acambaro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Correcaminos UAT II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Atlético Saltillo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 6 | Guerreros del Pacifico | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | FC Santiago | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Calor de San Pedro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 8 | Guerreros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 2 |
| 10 | Héroes de Zaci | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 2 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 19 | -18 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.