Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 9
Almere City FC1–0FC Volendam
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Eerste Divisie
- Venue
- Yanmar Stadion
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Almere City FC vs FC Volendam: match review and analysis
Almere City FC vs FC Volendam in Eerste Divisie on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Almere City FC recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 26 and conceding 15. FC Volendam recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 25 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Almere City FC | FC Volendam |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 26 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Almere City FC: (2.38 weighted goals scored + 2.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC Volendam: (2.35 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Almere City FC recent form
2.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DordrechtEerste Divisie | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| HeraclesEerste Divisie | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MVVEerste Divisie | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Jong AjaxEerste Divisie | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| De GraafschapEerste Divisie | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| VitesseEerste Divisie | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Jong PSV U21Eerste Divisie | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Den BoschEerste Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EmmenFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| FC OSSFriendlies Clubs | Home | 8–4 | Won |
Scores shown from Almere City FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Volendam recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV VenloEerste Divisie | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Jong AZEerste Divisie | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Den BoschEerste Divisie | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| EmmenEerste Divisie | Away | 3–5 | Lost | |
| DordrechtEerste Divisie | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| MVVEerste Divisie | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC OSSEerste Divisie | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Jong PSV U21Eerste Divisie | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| AjaxFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| GroningenFriendlies Clubs | Away | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from FC Volendam’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Eerste Divisie — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Almere City FC are ranked 2 in Eerste Divisie: Regular season, with 19 points from 9 games.
FC Volendam are ranked 11 in Eerste Divisie: Regular season, with 12 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | MVV | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Eindhoven | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | FC OSS | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 |
Almere City FC are ranked 2 in Eerste Divisie: Period 1, with 19 points from 9 games.
FC Volendam are ranked 11 in Eerste Divisie: Period 1, with 12 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | MVV | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Eindhoven | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | FC OSS | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 |
Almere City FC are ranked 9 in Eerste Divisie: Period 2, with 0 points from 0 games.
FC Volendam are ranked 11 in Eerste Divisie: Period 2, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | MVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | FC OSS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong PSV U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Almere City FC are ranked 9 in Eerste Divisie: Period 3, with 0 points from 0 games.
FC Volendam are ranked 11 in Eerste Divisie: Period 3, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | MVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | FC OSS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong PSV U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Almere City FC are ranked 9 in Eerste Divisie: Period 4, with 0 points from 0 games.
FC Volendam are ranked 11 in Eerste Divisie: Period 4, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | MVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | FC OSS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong PSV U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.