First Amateur Division · ACFF - 7
Tubize1–0Habay-la-Neuve
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First Amateur Division
- Venue
- Stade Leburton
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve: match review and analysis
Tubize vs Habay-la-Neuve in First Amateur Division on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Tubize recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Habay-la-Neuve recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 7 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Tubize | Habay-la-Neuve |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Tubize: (1.45 weighted goals scored + 1.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Habay-la-Neuve: (0.69 weighted goals scored + 1.55 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Tubize recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise IIFirst Amateur Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Olympic CharleroiFirst Amateur Division | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Albert Quévy-MonsFirst Amateur Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| RochefortFirst Amateur Division | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Standard Liège IIFirst Amateur Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sporting Charleroi IIFirst Amateur Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Francs BorainsFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| RochefortFirst Amateur Division | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| MeuxFirst Amateur Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Albert Quévy-MonsFirst Amateur Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Tubize’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Habay-la-Neuve recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Charleroi IIFirst Amateur Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Olympic CharleroiCup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FlénuFirst Amateur Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Standard Liège IIFirst Amateur Division | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Union Saint-Gilloise IIFirst Amateur Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| RochefortFirst Amateur Division | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| RWDMFirst Amateur Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Excelsior VirtonFirst Amateur Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Albert Quévy-MonsFirst Amateur Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| RochefortFirst Amateur Division | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Habay-la-Neuve’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First Amateur Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tubize are ranked 4 in National Division 1, with 14 points from 7 games.
Habay-la-Neuve are ranked 11 in National Division 1, with 5 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meux | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | RWDM | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Rochefort | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Tubize | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Union Saint-Gilloise II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Albert Quévy-Mons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sporting Charleroi II | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Olympic Charleroi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
| 9 | Standard Liège II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Onhaye | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 11 | Habay-la-Neuve | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 12 | Flénu | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.