Mineiro - 3 · Regular Season - 3
Novo Esporte Clube0–0Venda Nova
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 2 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Mineiro - 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–0
- 90-minute score
- 0–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Novo Esporte Clube vs Venda Nova: match review and analysis
Novo Esporte Clube vs Venda Nova in Mineiro - 3 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Novo Esporte Clube recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Venda Nova recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 10 scored and 1 conceded across 2 games.
| Statistic | Novo Esporte Clube | Venda Nova |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 2 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 1 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 2 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Novo Esporte Clube: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 0.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Venda Nova: (5.75 weighted goals scored + 1.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Novo Esporte Clube recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nova LavrasMineiro - 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Inter de MinasMineiro - 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ParacatuMineiro - 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CoimbraMineiro - 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BOAMineiro - 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| EssubeMineiro - 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| TupiMineiro - 3 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Inter de MinasMineiro - 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Boston City FC BrasilMineiro - 3 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| SerranenseMineiro - 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Novo Esporte Clube’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 2 GAMES
Venda Nova recent form
5.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 2 of 2 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SantarritenseMineiro - 3 | Away | 8–0 | Won | |
| Nova LavrasMineiro - 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Venda Nova’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 2 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Mineiro - 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Venda Nova are ranked 1 in Mineiro 3, with 10 points from 4 games.
Novo Esporte Clube are ranked 3 in Mineiro 3, with 4 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venda Nova | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 10 |
| 1 | Paracatu | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Nacional AC MG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Betim 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Novo Esporte Clube | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 | Sao Joao del Rei | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Inter de Minas | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Funorte | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
| 5 | Nova Lavras | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Araxá | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Santarritense | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | -17 | 0 |
| 6 | Siderurgica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.