Liga Premier Serie A · Apertura - 6
Ciervos0–5Halcones Negros
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 5 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Premier Serie A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–5
- 90-minute score
- 0–5
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ciervos vs Halcones Negros: match review and analysis
Ciervos vs Halcones Negros in Liga Premier Serie A on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–5. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Ciervos recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 26. Halcones Negros recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 12 scored and 4 conceded across 5 games.
| Statistic | Ciervos | Halcones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 5 |
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 26 | 4 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ciervos: (0.72 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Halcones Negros: (2.42 weighted goals scored + 2.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ciervos recent form
0.70 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real RefinerosLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Calor de San PedroLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Artesanos MetepecLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Guerreros del PacificoLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Dragones de OaxacaLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ChilpancingoLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC SantiagoLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Zacatepec 1948Liga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Sporting CanamyLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gavilanes FC MatamorosLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ciervos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 5 GAMES
Halcones Negros recent form
2.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 4 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calor de San PedroLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Artesanos MetepecLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Guerreros del PacificoLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Dragones de OaxacaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Delfines CoatzacoalcosLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Halcones Negros’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Premier Serie A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Halcones Negros are ranked 3 in Liga Premier Serie A, with 10 points from 6 games.
Ciervos are ranked 9 in Liga Premier Serie A, with 2 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 1 | Artesanos Metepec | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Acatlan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Halcones Negros | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 10 |
| 4 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Acambaro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Correcaminos UAT II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Atlético Saltillo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 6 | Guerreros del Pacifico | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | FC Santiago | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Calor de San Pedro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 8 | Guerreros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 2 |
| 10 | Héroes de Zaci | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 2 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 19 | -18 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.