Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 13
Deportivo Recoleta1–2Libertad Asuncion
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Division Profesional - Clausura
- Venue
- Estadio Roque F. Batelhana
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 3′
- 18′
- 53′Elvio VeraPenaltyLibertad Asuncion
Cards
- 12′Wilfrido BaezYellow CardDeportivo RecoletaFoul
- 45+1′Robert RojasYellow CardLibertad AsuncionFoul
- 67′Ronal DominguezYellow CardDeportivo RecoletaFoul
- 72′Gustavo AguilarYellow CardLibertad AsuncionFoul
Events updated
Lineups
Deportivo Recoleta
Formation: 4-4-2
Starting XI
- 13Oscar ToledoG
- 2Facundo EchegurenD
- 4Marcos PereiraD
- 32Lucas MonzonD
- 18Pedro RiosD
- 36Brahian FerreiraM
- 7Ronal DominguezM
- 38Juan FrancoM
- 17Wilfrido BaezM
- 25Renzo MartinoF
- 33Aldo GonzalezF
Substitutes
Libertad Asuncion
Formation: 4-4-2
Starting XI
- 12Rodrigo MorínigoG
- 5Gilberto FloresD
- 3Robert RojasD
- 23Nicolás FreireD
- 4Néstor GiménezD
- 8Federico CarrizoM
- 28Marcelo FernandezM
- 21Lucas SanabriaM
- 19Iván FrancoM
- 9Gustavo AguilarF
- 11Elvio VeraF
Substitutes
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion: match review and analysis
Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion in Division Profesional - Clausura on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Deportivo Recoleta recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 19. Libertad Asuncion recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 12 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Deportivo Recoleta | Libertad Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Deportivo Recoleta: (1.02 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Libertad Asuncion: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 1.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportivo Recoleta recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Sp. San LorenzoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Guairena FCCopa Paraguay | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Cerro PortenoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Deportivo SantaniCopa Paraguay | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Boca JuniorsCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Home | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Deportivo Recoleta’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Libertad Asuncion recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Fernando De La MoraCopa Paraguay | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Nacional AsuncionDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Cerro PortenoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Club Sp. San LorenzoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TacuaryCopa Paraguay | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Libertad Asuncion’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Division Profesional - Clausura — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Libertad Asuncion are ranked 1 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 26 points from 13 games.
Deportivo Recoleta are ranked 11 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 8 points from 13 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Club Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Sportivo Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio NU | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 9 |
| 11 | Deportivo Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 8 |
| 12 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 22 | -18 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.