NWSL Women · Group Stage
Kansas City W5–1Bay FC W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- NWSL Women
- Venue
- CPKC Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 5–1
- 90-minute score
- 5–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kansas City W vs Bay FC W: match review and analysis
Kansas City W vs Bay FC W in NWSL Women on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 5–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Kansas City W recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 14. Bay FC W recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 11 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kansas City W | Bay FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kansas City W: (2.16 weighted goals scored + 1.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.90 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bay FC W: (1.07 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kansas City W recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Summit WNWSL Women | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| San Diego Wave WNWSL Women | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Orlando Pride WNWSL Women | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Bay FC WNWSL Women | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| North Carolina Courage WNWSL Women | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Seattle Reign FC WNWSL Women | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC WNWSL Women | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Houston Dash WNWSL Women | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Angel City WNWSL Women | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Racing Louisville WNWSL Women | Home | 5–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Kansas City W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bay FC W recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pride WNWSL Women | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Racing Louisville WNWSL Women | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Denver Summit WNWSL Women | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Seattle Reign FC WNWSL Women | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kansas City WNWSL Women | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Washington Spirit WNWSL Women | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Houston Dash WNWSL Women | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Utah Royals WNWSL Women | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Chicago Red Stars WNWSL Women | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Seattle Reign FC WNWSL Women | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Bay FC W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
NWSL Women — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kansas City W are ranked 5 in Nwsl Women, with 44 points from 27 games.
Bay FC W are ranked 14 in Nwsl Women, with 26 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign FC W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Red Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 63 | -48 | 17 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.