National League - National · Championship Group - 2
Eastern Suburbs2–4Auckland City
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League - National
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–4
- 90-minute score
- 2–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City: match review and analysis
Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City in National League - National on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–4. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Eastern Suburbs recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Auckland City recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 24 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Eastern Suburbs | Auckland City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 24 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Eastern Suburbs: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.08 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Auckland City: (2.28 weighted goals scored + 0.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Eastern Suburbs recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrymead BaysNational League - National | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Birkenhead UnitedNational League - Northern | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Western SpringsNational League - Northern | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Auckland CityNational League - Northern | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Wellington OlympicChatham Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| West Coast RangersNational League - Northern | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ManurewaNational League - Northern | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Fencibles UnitedChatham Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| East Coast BaysNational League - Northern | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Auckland IINational League - Northern | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Eastern Suburbs’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Auckland City recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central CoastOFC Champions League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| RewaOFC Champions League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| VénusOFC Champions League | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Tiga SportOFC Champions League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Central CoastOFC Champions League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Fencibles UnitedChatham Cup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| TakapunaChatham Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Wellington OlympicNational League - Championship - Final | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Coastal SpiritNational League - National | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Western SpringsNational League - National | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Auckland City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League - National — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Auckland City are ranked 5 in First Division: Championship Group, with 3 points from 1 games.
Eastern Suburbs are ranked 7 in First Division: Championship Group, with 1 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cashmere Technical | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 6 |
| 2 | Auckland United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Miramar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Ferrymead Bays | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Auckland City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Wellington Olympic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 8 | Napier City Rovers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 1 |
| 10 | Auckland FC 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Birkenhead United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.