Primera Premier · Regular Season - 6
Inter Playa del Carmen3–1Deportiva Venados
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Premier
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- 3–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Inter Playa del Carmen vs Deportiva Venados: match review and analysis
Inter Playa del Carmen vs Deportiva Venados in Primera Premier on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Inter Playa del Carmen recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Deportiva Venados recorded 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses, with 17 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Inter Playa del Carmen | Deportiva Venados |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Inter Playa del Carmen: (0.83 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Deportiva Venados: (1.80 weighted goals scored + 1.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Inter Playa del Carmen recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MontañesesPrimera Premier | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ChapulinerosPrimera Premier | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TapachulaPrimera Premier | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Pioneros de CancúnPrimera Premier | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Real ApodacaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Real ApodacaLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TecosLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TecosLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Héroes de ZaciLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| CelayaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Inter Playa del Carmen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportiva Venados recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CelayaPrimera Premier | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Racing de VeracruzPrimera Premier | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Jaguares de ChiapasPrimera Premier | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| MontañesesPrimera Premier | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DurangoLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DurangoLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Real ApodacaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Real ApodacaLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tritons VallartaLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tritons VallartaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Deportiva Venados’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Premier — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Deportiva Venados are ranked 11 in Regular Season, with 5 points from 5 games.
Inter Playa del Carmen are ranked 15 in Regular Season, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irapuato | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Celaya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Pioneros de Cancún | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | Racing de Veracruz | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 11 |
| 5 | Tigres de Alica | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Zacatepec 1948 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Reboceros La Piedad | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Jaguares de Chiapas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Montañeses | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Deportiva Venados | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Chapulineros | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Cordobés | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Lobos ULMX | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Inter Playa del Carmen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Tapachula | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
| 17 | Tritons Vallarta | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | H2O Purepechas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.