Primera Premier · Regular Season - 6
Tigres de Alica1–0H2O Purepechas
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 4 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Premier
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Tigres de Alica vs H2O Purepechas: match review and analysis
Tigres de Alica vs H2O Purepechas in Primera Premier on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Tigres de Alica recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 11. H2O Purepechas recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 1 scored and 6 conceded across 4 games.
| Statistic | Tigres de Alica | H2O Purepechas |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 4 |
| Wins | 6 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 1 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 2 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Tigres de Alica: (1.57 weighted goals scored + 1.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
H2O Purepechas: (0.17 weighted goals scored + 1.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Tigres de Alica recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tritons VallartaPrimera Premier | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lobos ULMXPrimera Premier | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IrapuatoPrimera Premier | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Los Cabos UnitedPrimera Premier | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Zacatepec 1948Primera Premier | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo ZapLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo ZapLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Los Cabos UnitedLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| UA ZacatecasLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Tritons VallartaLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Tigres de Alica’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 4 GAMES
H2O Purepechas recent form
0.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 2 of 4 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Cabos UnitedPrimera Premier | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Zacatepec 1948Primera Premier | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Reboceros La PiedadPrimera Premier | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CordobésPrimera Premier | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from H2O Purepechas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 4 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Premier — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tigres de Alica are ranked 5 in Regular Season, with 11 points from 6 games.
H2O Purepechas are ranked 18 in Regular Season, with 1 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irapuato | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Celaya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Pioneros de Cancún | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | Racing de Veracruz | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 11 |
| 5 | Tigres de Alica | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Zacatepec 1948 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Reboceros La Piedad | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Jaguares de Chiapas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Montañeses | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Deportiva Venados | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Chapulineros | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Cordobés | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Lobos ULMX | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Inter Playa del Carmen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Tapachula | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
| 17 | Tritons Vallarta | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | H2O Purepechas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.