Primera Division · Apertura - 10
Walter Ferretti2–2Jalapa
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Venue
- Estadio Olimpico del IND Managua
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–2
- 90-minute score
- 2–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa: match review and analysis
Walter Ferretti vs Jalapa in Primera Division on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Walter Ferretti recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 19. Jalapa recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 7 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Walter Ferretti | Jalapa |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Walter Ferretti: (1.31 weighted goals scored + 1.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Jalapa: (0.62 weighted goals scored + 1.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Walter Ferretti recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ManaguaPrimera Division | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| H&H ExportPrimera Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| San MarcosPrimera Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UNAN ManaguaPrimera Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rancho SantanaPrimera Division | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Real EstelíPrimera Division | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| MatagalpaPrimera Division | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| DiriangénPrimera Division | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| JalapaPrimera Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| JalapaPrimera Division | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Walter Ferretti’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Jalapa recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San MarcosPrimera Division | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Rancho SantanaPrimera Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DiriangénPrimera Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MatagalpaPrimera Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UNAN ManaguaPrimera Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| H&H ExportPrimera Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Real EstelíPrimera Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ManaguaPrimera Division | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Walter FerrettiPrimera Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MatagalpaCopa Nicaragua | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Jalapa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Walter Ferretti are ranked 8 in Apertura, with 8 points from 10 games.
Jalapa are ranked 9 in Apertura, with 5 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 26 |
| 2 | Diriangén | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 24 |
| 3 | UNAN Managua | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | Real Estelí | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | San Marcos | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
| 6 | H&H Export | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 7 | Matagalpa | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 9 |
| 8 | Walter Ferretti | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Jalapa | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 5 |
| 10 | Rancho Santana | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.