USL League One · Group Stage
Spokane Velocity3–3Portland Hearts of Pine
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- USL League One
- Venue
- One Spokane Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–3
- 90-minute score
- 3–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine: match review and analysis
Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine in USL League One on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Spokane Velocity recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Portland Hearts of Pine recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 11 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Spokane Velocity | Portland Hearts of Pine |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Spokane Velocity: (1.65 weighted goals scored + 1.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.76 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Portland Hearts of Pine: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Spokane Velocity recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Forward MadisonUSL League One | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BoiseUSL League One | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Union OmahaUSL League One | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sarasota ParadiseUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Westchester SCUSL League One | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Greenville TriumphUSL League One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Corpus ChristiUSL League One | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Colorado SpringsUSL League One Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Fort WayneUSL League One | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Spokane Velocity’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Portland Hearts of Pine recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarasota ParadiseUSL League One | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AltaUSL League One | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Westchester SCUSL League One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Charlotte IndependenceUSL League One | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Fort WayneUSL League One | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Richmond KickersUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| One KnoxvilleUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Forward MadisonUSL League One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Corpus ChristiUSL League One | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Portland Hearts of Pine’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Spokane Velocity are ranked 6 in USL League One, with 47 points from 27 games.
Portland Hearts of Pine are ranked 14 in USL League One, with 31 points from 29 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 51 |
| 5 | Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Alta | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | NY Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.