J3 League · Regular Season - 9
Kamatamare Sanuki0–0Tochigi SC
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J3 League
- Venue
- Pikara
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–0
- 90-minute score
- 0–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC: match review and analysis
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC in J3 League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Kamatamare Sanuki recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 20. Tochigi SC recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 11 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kamatamare Sanuki | Tochigi SC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kamatamare Sanuki: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 1.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tochigi SC: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 2.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kamatamare Sanuki recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC GifuJ3 League | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Ehime FCJ3 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC RyukyuJ3 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| JEF United ChibaJ-League Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Biwako ShigaJ3 League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Kochi UnitedJ3 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Veroskronos TsunoEmperor Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KitakyushuJ3 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Fukushima UnitedJ3 League | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Kamatamare Sanuki’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tochigi SC recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsumoto YamagaJ3 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Parceiro NaganoJ3 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Montedio YamagataJ-League Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kochi UnitedJ3 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC GifuJ3 League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Kawasaki FrontaleEmperor Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| KitakyushuJ3 League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| UrayasuEmperor Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Roasso KumamotoJ3 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Tochigi SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J3 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tochigi SC are ranked 14 in J3 League, with 10 points from 9 games.
Kamatamare Sanuki are ranked 19 in J3 League, with 5 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Osaka | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Roasso Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | FC Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 9 | Kanazawa | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Biwako Shiga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Parceiro Nagano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Ryukyu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Kitakyushu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 | Fukushima United | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 6 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.