J3 League · Regular Season - 9
Kagoshima United3–2Fukushima United
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J3 League
- Venue
- Shiranami Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–2
- 90-minute score
- 3–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United: match review and analysis
Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United in J3 League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Kagoshima United recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 10. Fukushima United recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 23 scored and 25 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kagoshima United | Fukushima United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 25 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kagoshima United: (1.95 weighted goals scored + 2.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Fukushima United: (1.99 weighted goals scored + 0.99 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kagoshima United recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KitakyushuJ3 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tochigi SCJ3 League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Biwako ShigaJ3 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC RyukyuJ3 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Consadole SapporoJ-League Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kamatamare SanukiJ3 League | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Albirex NiigataEmperor Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| FC GifuJ3 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Renofa YamaguchiEmperor Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nara ClubJ3 League | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Kagoshima United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Fukushima United recent form
2.30 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito HollyhockJ-League Cup | Home | 0–7 | Lost | |
| Parceiro NaganoJ3 League | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| OsakaJ3 League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Roasso KumamotoJ3 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Vegalta SendaiJ-League Cup | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Thespakusatsu GunmaJ3 League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Nara ClubJ3 League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Yokohama F. MarinosEmperor Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Gainare TottoriJ3 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| OyamaEmperor Cup | Home | 7–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Fukushima United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J3 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kagoshima United are ranked 1 in J3 League, with 23 points from 9 games.
Fukushima United are ranked 17 in J3 League, with 7 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Osaka | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Roasso Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | FC Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 9 | Kanazawa | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Biwako Shiga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Parceiro Nagano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Ryukyu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Kitakyushu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 | Fukushima United | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 6 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.