Druha Liga · Regular Season - 9
Metalurh Zaporizhya1–2Karbon Cherkasy
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Druha Liga
- Venue
- Slavutych-Arena
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Karbon Cherkasy: match review and analysis
Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Karbon Cherkasy in Druha Liga on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Metalurh Zaporizhya recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 18. Karbon Cherkasy recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Metalurh Zaporizhya | Karbon Cherkasy |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Metalurh Zaporizhya: (1.01 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.14 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Karbon Cherkasy: (1.38 weighted goals scored + 1.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.60 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Metalurh Zaporizhya recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtletDruha Liga | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| LozovaDruha Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| RebelDruha Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Olimpiya SavyntsiCup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PenuelDruha Liga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Oleksandria IIDruha Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SC Poltava 2Druha Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BukovynaPersha Liga | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| ChernihivPersha Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Livyi BerehPersha Liga | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Metalurh Zaporizhya’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Karbon Cherkasy recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Poltava 2Druha Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Oleksandria IIDruha Liga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AtletDruha Liga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Epitsentr DunayivtsiCup | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| LozovaDruha Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| TrostianetsDruha Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Pokuttia KolomyiaCup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| RebelDruha Liga | Away | 5–3 | Won | |
| PenuelDruha Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| InhuletsCup | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Karbon Cherkasy’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Druha Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Karbon Cherkasy are ranked 1 in Second League, with 15 points from 8 games.
Metalurh Zaporizhya are ranked 8 in Second League, with 6 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 20 |
| 1 | Karbon Cherkasy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Lozova | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
| 3 | Atlet | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
| 4 | SC Poltava 2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 11 |
| 5 | Vilkhivtsi | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
| 5 | Rebel | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Nyva Ternopil II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 |
| 6 | Oleksandria II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Skala 1911 Stryi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 7 | Trostianets | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
| 8 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Ruh Lviv | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Penuel | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.