Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 · Group 5 - 2
Asteras Stavros0–1Diagoras Agias
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 1 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Asteras Stavros vs Diagoras Agias: match review and analysis
Asteras Stavros vs Diagoras Agias in Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Asteras Stavros recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 15. Diagoras Agias recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, with 0 scored and 0 conceded across 1 games.
| Statistic | Asteras Stavros | Diagoras Agias |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 1 |
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 0 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 0 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 0 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Asteras Stavros: (0.94 weighted goals scored + 0.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Diagoras Agias: (0.00 weighted goals scored + 1.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Asteras Stavros recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KifissosGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ElassonaGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TilikratisGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Aris FiliatesGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| LamiaGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TrikalaGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| A. SchimatariGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AnthoupoliGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LamiaGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LefkimmiGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Asteras Stavros’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 1 GAMES
Diagoras Agias recent form
0.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded per game. 0 of 1 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nea ArtakiGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Diagoras Agias’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 1 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Diagoras Agias are ranked 4 in Group 5, with 4 points from 2 games.
Asteras Stavros are ranked 10 in Group 5, with 0 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kifissos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Fokikos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | A. Schimatari | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Diagoras Agias | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Karystos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Lamia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Tamynaikos Aliveriou | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Katsantonis Agrafon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Nea Artaki | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Asteras Stavros | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Thiva | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.