Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 6
Athletic Club II1–3Extremadura 1924
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División RFEF - Group 1
- Venue
- Lezama Facilities
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–3
- 90-minute score
- 1–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924: match review and analysis
Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924 in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Athletic Club II recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 6. Extremadura 1924 recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Athletic Club II | Extremadura 1924 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Athletic Club II: (2.05 weighted goals scored + 1.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.59 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Extremadura 1924: (0.97 weighted goals scored + 0.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Athletic Club II recent form
1.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo La Coruña IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Real AvilésPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LaredoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| AmorebietaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cultural LeonesaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sestao RiverFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BurgosFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Athletic Club II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Extremadura 1924 recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cultural LeonesaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BarakaldoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| UD LogroñésPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CD CoriaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Linares DeportivoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| La Unión AtléticoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| XerezSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Recreativo HuelvaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Extremadura 1924’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Athletic Club II are ranked 3 in Segunda B: Group 1, with 11 points from 6 games.
Extremadura 1924 are ranked 13 in Segunda B: Group 1, with 6 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logroñés | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Lugo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Athletic Club II | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Cacereño | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Mirandes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Zamora | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Racing Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Unión | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Deportivo La Coruña II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Cultural Leonesa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Extremadura 1924 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Mérida AD | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Barakaldo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Real Avilés | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 18 | CD Coria | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 2 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.