Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Group 3 - 5
Atlético Baleares2–1Poblense
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
- Venue
- Estadio Balear
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Atlético Baleares vs Poblense: match review and analysis
Atlético Baleares vs Poblense in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Atlético Baleares recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 11. Poblense recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 7 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Atlético Baleares | Poblense |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Atlético Baleares: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 0.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.20 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Poblense: (0.58 weighted goals scored + 1.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Atlético Baleares recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CiezaSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ucam MurciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| IntercitySegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| YeclanoSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SS ReyesFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Real Madrid IIIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Mallorca IIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| PoblenseFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mallorca IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Real JaénSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Atlético Baleares’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Poblense recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia IISegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AlcoyanoSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CastellonenseSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| La NucíaSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Atlético BalearesFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ÁguilasSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ÁguilasSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ibiza Islas PitiusasSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Poblense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Atlético Baleares are ranked 13 in Group 3, with 5 points from 5 games.
Poblense are ranked 16 in Group 3, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | La Nucía | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Castellonense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Alcoyano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ucam Murcia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Intercity | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Cieza | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| 8 | Deportiva Minera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Yeclano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Orihuela | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Lorca Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Mallorca II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Atlético Baleares | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Valencia II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Elche II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Poblense | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Real Murcia II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Peña Deportiva | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.