Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Group 4 - 5
Xerez2–1Tenerife II
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Xerez vs Tenerife II: match review and analysis
Xerez vs Tenerife II in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Xerez recorded 1 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Tenerife II recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 17 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Xerez | Tenerife II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 3 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 4 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 2 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Xerez: (0.34 weighted goals scored + 1.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tenerife II: (1.59 weighted goals scored + 0.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.06 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Xerez recent form
0.30 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 2 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo HuelvaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Don BenitoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BadajozSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| EsteponaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PortuenseFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ConquenseSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ConquenseSegunda División RFEF - Play-offs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ucam MurciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Xerez DeportivoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Extremadura 1924Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Xerez’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tenerife II recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EsteponaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ciudad de LucenaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Atlético CentralSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| BadajozSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TenerifeFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SS ReyesSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ConquenseSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CD CoriaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Elche IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| SocuéllamosSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Tenerife II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tenerife II are ranked 4 in Group 4, with 9 points from 5 games.
Xerez are ranked 13 in Group 4, with 5 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Betis II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Recreativo Huelva | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Tenerife II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Ciudad de Lucena | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Sevilla Atletico | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Badajoz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Estepona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Linares Deportivo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sanluqueño | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Atlético Central | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Xerez | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Marbella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Puente Genil | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Las Palmas II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Tamaraceite | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Antoniano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.