Copa del Rey · 1/128-finals
GüímarvsHortaleza
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Postponed
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawPostponed
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 1 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa del Rey
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Postponed
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Güímar vs Hortaleza: match review and analysis
Güímar vs Hortaleza in Copa del Rey on 4 October 2026. Match status: Match Postponed.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Güímar recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 26. Hortaleza recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 1 scored and 0 conceded across 1 games.
| Statistic | Güímar | Hortaleza |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 10 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 1 |
| Goals conceded | 26 | 0 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 0 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Güímar: (0.68 weighted goals scored + 0.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hortaleza: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 2.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Güímar recent form
0.60 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HortalezaCopa del Rey | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Villa Santa BrígidaTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ArucasTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| La CuadraTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| GuíaTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Villa Santa BrígidaTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| ArucasTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| La CuadraTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GuíaTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MensajeroTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Güímar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 1 GAMES
Hortaleza recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded per game. 0 of 1 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GüímarCopa del Rey | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Hortaleza’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 1 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa del Rey — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.