First League · Regular Season - 21
Veles1–2Volga Ulyanovsk
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First League
- Venue
- Avangard Stadium (Domodedovo)
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk: match review and analysis
Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk in First League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Veles recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Volga Ulyanovsk recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 10 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Veles | Volga Ulyanovsk |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Veles: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 1.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Volga Ulyanovsk: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 1.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Veles recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo MoskvaFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC SochiFirst League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MuromCup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC UFAFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TekstilshchikFirst League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Arsenal TulaFirst League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nizhny NovgorodFirst League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Ska-khabarovskFirst League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LeningradetsFirst League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Rotor VolgogradFirst League | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Veles’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Volga Ulyanovsk recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeningradetsFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Spartak KostromaFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC UFAFirst League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Volgar AstrakhanCup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Arsenal TulaFirst League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Nizhny NovgorodFirst League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Shinnik YaroslavlFirst League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FC SochiFirst League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KAMAZFirst League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ChelyabinskFirst League | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Volga Ulyanovsk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Veles are ranked 5 in Regular Season, with 23 points from 13 games.
Volga Ulyanovsk are ranked 10 in Regular Season, with 14 points from 13 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Spartak Kostroma | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moskva | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Enisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 13 |
| 13 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 13 |
| 14 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 | KAMAZ | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshchik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 | Ska-khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.