Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 · Group 6 - 2
Tilikratis0–1Agios Matthaios
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Tilikratis vs Agios Matthaios: match review and analysis
Tilikratis vs Agios Matthaios in Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Tilikratis recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Agios Matthaios recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 8 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Tilikratis | Agios Matthaios |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Tilikratis: (0.91 weighted goals scored + 1.46 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Agios Matthaios: (0.80 weighted goals scored + 0.76 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Tilikratis recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LefkimmiGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Aris FiliatesGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Asteras StavrosGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LamiaGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TrikalaGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ElassonaGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LefkimmiGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Aris FiliatesGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| TrikalaGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Nea SelefkiaGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Tilikratis’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Agios Matthaios recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris FiliatesGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Asteras KalirachisGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Iraklis AmpelokiponGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Poseidon Nea MichanionaGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Makedonikos NeapolisGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LefkimmiGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Pontion KaragiannionGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| GiannitsaGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| M. Alexandros TrikalaGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KozaniGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Agios Matthaios’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tilikratis are ranked 7 in Group 6, with 3 points from 2 games.
Agios Matthaios are ranked 8 in Group 6, with 3 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atromitos Patras | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 6 |
| 2 | Preveza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Panegialios | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Plataria | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Panachaiki FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Aris Filiates | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Tilikratis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Agios Matthaios | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Pallixouriakos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Lefkimmi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 |
| 11 | Panagriniakos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
| 12 | Levante | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.