FA WSL · Regular Season - 5
Aston Villa W1–1Crystal Palace W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FA WSL
- Venue
- Trevor Brown Memorial Ground
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W: match review and analysis
Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W in FA WSL on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Aston Villa W recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 22. Crystal Palace W recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 20 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Aston Villa W | Crystal Palace W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Aston Villa W: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 1.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Crystal Palace W: (1.95 weighted goals scored + 2.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Aston Villa W recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United WWSL Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Tottenham Hotspur WFA WSL | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Nottingham Forest WWSL Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Brighton WFA WSL | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Manchester City WFA WSL | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Chelsea WFA WSL | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| London City Lionesses WFA WSL | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Arsenal WFA WSL | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| West Ham WFA WSL | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Chelsea WFA WSL | Away | 3–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Aston Villa W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Crystal Palace W recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton Athletic WWSL Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Birmingham City WFA WSL | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Watford WWSL Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tottenham Hotspur WFA WSL | Home | 0–7 | Lost | |
| Arsenal WFA WSL | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Everton WFA WSL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Portsmouth WWomen's Championship | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Sunderland WWomen's Championship | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ipswich Town WWomen's Championship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Charlton Athletic WWomen's Championship | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Crystal Palace W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FA WSL — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Crystal Palace W are ranked 8 in Super League Women, with 6 points from 5 games.
Aston Villa W are ranked 12 in Super League Women, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Chelsea W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 13 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Everton W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Manchester United W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace W | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Arsenal W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | West Ham W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Aston Villa W | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 13 | Birmingham City W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 2 |
| 14 | Charlton Athletic W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.