FA WSL · Regular Season - 5
Brighton W5–1Charlton Athletic W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FA WSL
- Venue
- American Express Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 5–1
- 90-minute score
- 5–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Brighton W vs Charlton Athletic W: match review and analysis
Brighton W vs Charlton Athletic W in FA WSL on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 5–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Brighton W recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Charlton Athletic W recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, with 3 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Brighton W | Charlton Athletic W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 3 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Brighton W: (1.12 weighted goals scored + 2.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Charlton Athletic W: (0.25 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Brighton W recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur WWSL Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| London City Lionesses WFA WSL | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Charlton Athletic WWSL Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Aston Villa WFA WSL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Birmingham City WFA WSL | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Arsenal WFA WSL | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Manchester City WFA Women's Cup | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Tottenham Hotspur WFA WSL | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Liverpool WFA Women's Cup | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Arsenal WFA WSL | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Brighton W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Charlton Athletic W recent form
0.30 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace WWSL Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Manchester City WFA WSL | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Brighton WWSL Cup | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| London City Lionesses WFA WSL | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Everton WFA WSL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Liverpool WFA WSL | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Leicester City FC WFA WSL | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Birmingham City WWomen's Championship | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Southampton WWomen's Championship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Liverpool WFA Women's Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Charlton Athletic W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FA WSL — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Brighton W are ranked 9 in Super League Women, with 5 points from 5 games.
Charlton Athletic W are ranked 14 in Super League Women, with 0 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Chelsea W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 13 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Everton W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Manchester United W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace W | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Arsenal W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | West Ham W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Aston Villa W | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 13 | Birmingham City W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 2 |
| 14 | Charlton Athletic W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.