Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 · Group 4 - 2
Sarakinos1–0Pierikos
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sarakinos vs Pierikos: match review and analysis
Sarakinos vs Pierikos in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Sarakinos recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 11. Pierikos recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 4 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sarakinos | Pierikos |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 4 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sarakinos: (1.97 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pierikos: (0.50 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sarakinos recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KaritsaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KozaniGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| EordaikosGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EvosmouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Akrites SykeonGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Asteras Kard.Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| EvosmouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Asteras Kard.Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Apollon PontouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Akrites SykeonGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sarakinos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pierikos recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis LarissaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| VeriaGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AlexandreiaGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ethnikos Neou KeramidiouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Ermis ExochiGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Apollon PontouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KozaniGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EordaikosGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ethnikos Neou KeramidiouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VeriaGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Pierikos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Pierikos are ranked 5 in Group 4, with 3 points from 2 games.
Sarakinos are ranked 7 in Group 4, with 3 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trikala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Anthoupoli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Ermis Exochi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Elassona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Pierikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Karitsa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sarakinos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Feraios | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Iraklis Larissa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Digenis Neochori | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.