Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 · Group 5 - 2
Thiva1–4Kifissos
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 1 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–4
- 90-minute score
- 1–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Thiva vs Kifissos: match review and analysis
Thiva vs Kifissos in Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–4. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Thiva recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 27. Kifissos recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3 scored and 1 conceded across 1 games.
| Statistic | Thiva | Kifissos |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 3 |
| Goals conceded | 27 | 1 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 1 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Thiva: (1.07 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kifissos: (3.00 weighted goals scored + 2.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Thiva recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FokikosGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Agios NikolaosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Nea IoniaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| MarkoGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ethnikos PiraeusGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| IlisiakosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| GiouchtasGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| ChaidariGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Aris PetroupolisGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Asteras KaisarianiGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Thiva’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 1 GAMES
Kifissos recent form
3.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 1 of 1 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras StavrosGamma Ethniki - Group 5 | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Kifissos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 1 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kifissos are ranked 1 in Group 5, with 6 points from 2 games.
Thiva are ranked 11 in Group 5, with 0 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kifissos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Fokikos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | A. Schimatari | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Diagoras Agias | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Karystos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Lamia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Tamynaikos Aliveriou | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Katsantonis Agrafon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Nea Artaki | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Asteras Stavros | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Thiva | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.