Serie D - Girone G · Group G - 6
Certosa V. Campagnano2–1Aranova
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 5 previous home-team games and 5 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie D - Girone G
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Certosa V. Campagnano vs Aranova: match review and analysis
Certosa V. Campagnano vs Aranova in Serie D - Girone G on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Certosa V. Campagnano recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the 5 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Aranova recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 5 scored and 5 conceded across 5 games.
| Statistic | Certosa V. Campagnano | Aranova |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 3 | 3 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Certosa V. Campagnano: (1.34 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Aranova: (1.09 weighted goals scored + 0.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 5 GAMES
Certosa V. Campagnano recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 3 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AnzioSerie D - Girone G | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atletico LodigianiSerie D - Girone G | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sarrabus OgliastraSerie D - Girone G | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| OsseseSerie D - Girone G | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Città di AnagniSerie D - Girone G | Away | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Certosa V. Campagnano’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LAST 5 GAMES
Aranova recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 3 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latte DolceSerie D - Girone G | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MonastirSerie D - Girone G | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AlbalongaSerie D - Girone G | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BudoniSerie D - Girone G | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AnzioSerie D - Girone G | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Aranova’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie D - Girone G — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Certosa V. Campagnano are ranked 3 in Group G, with 12 points from 6 games.
Aranova are ranked 13 in Group G, with 6 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarnese | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Monastir | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Certosa V. Campagnano | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Unipomezia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Ossese | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Trastevere | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Paganese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Anzio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Albalonga | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Gelbison | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Budoni | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Città di Anagni | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Aranova | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Afragolese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Latte Dolce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Venafro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Atletico Lodigiani | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.