Super League · Regular Season - 1
Mutondo Stars1–3Red Arrows
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–3
- 90-minute score
- 1–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows: match review and analysis
Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows in Super League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Mutondo Stars recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Red Arrows recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 14 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mutondo Stars | Red Arrows |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mutondo Stars: (0.99 weighted goals scored + 0.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.68 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Red Arrows: (1.31 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mutondo Stars recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAPSA StarsSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MinesSuper League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Power DynamosSuper League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Red ArrowsSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mufulira WanderersSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Green EaglesSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Green BuffaloesSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Konkola BladesSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ZanacoSuper League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kabwe WarriorsSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mutondo Stars’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Red Arrows recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inate RougeCAF Confederation Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Inate RougeCAF Confederation Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Green BuffaloesSuper League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Mufulira WanderersSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Green EaglesSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ZanacoSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mutondo StarsSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Konkola BladesSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kabwe WarriorsSuper League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| NkanaSuper League | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Red Arrows’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Red Arrows are ranked 4 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
Mutondo Stars are ranked 9 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zanaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ZESCO United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Nchanga Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Green Buffaloes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nkana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Kabwe Warriors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Power Dynamos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Red Arrows | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Konkola Blades | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Roan United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | NAPSA Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Green Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Nkwazi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Kansanshi Dynamos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Mufulira Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Trident | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Mutondo Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Makeni All Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Chirundu Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.