Gamma Ethniki - Group 10 · Group 10 - 2
AE Neapolis0–1Atsalenios
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 10
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
No goals in the latest saved events.
Cards
No cards in the latest saved events.
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
AE Neapolis vs Atsalenios: match review and analysis
AE Neapolis vs Atsalenios in Gamma Ethniki - Group 10 on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
AE Neapolis recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 22. Atsalenios recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | AE Neapolis | Atsalenios |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
AE Neapolis: (0.49 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Atsalenios: (1.07 weighted goals scored + 2.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.61 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
AE Neapolis recent form
0.70 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EpiskopiGamma Ethniki - Group 10 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PorosGamma Ethniki - Group 7 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PanioniosGamma Ethniki - Group 7 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AtsaleniosGamma Ethniki - Group 7 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Almyros GaziouGamma Ethniki - Group 7 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Agios NikolaosGamma Ethniki - Group 7 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Anagennisi IerapetraGamma Ethniki - Group 7 | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| GiouchtasGamma Ethniki - Group 7 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PAO RoufGamma Ethniki - Group 7 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Aris SoudasGamma Ethniki - Group 7 | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from AE Neapolis’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Atsalenios recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ErgotelisGamma Ethniki - Group 10 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IlisiakosGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ChaidariGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Graniths Agias MarinasGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Aias SalaminaGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| GiouchtasGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Ethnikos PiraeusGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| IonikosGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Asteras VarisGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AE MykonosGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Atsalenios’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 10 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Atsalenios are ranked 4 in Group 10, with 4 points from 2 games.
AE Neapolis are ranked 11 in Group 10, with 0 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kissamikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Rethymniakos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Agios Nikolaos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atsalenios | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Episkopi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Panakrotiriakos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Giouchtas | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Ergotelis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Platanias | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Tympaki | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | AE Neapolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 12 | Chersonissos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.