Second League - Group 3 · Group 3 - 26
Ryazan4–0Avangard Kursk
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League - Group 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–0
- 90-minute score
- 4–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ryazan vs Avangard Kursk: match review and analysis
Ryazan vs Avangard Kursk in Second League - Group 3 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Ryazan recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 6. Avangard Kursk recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ryazan | Avangard Kursk |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ryazan: (1.74 weighted goals scored + 1.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Avangard Kursk: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 0.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ryazan recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit PenzaSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Volna NizhegorodskayaSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Saturn RamenskoyeSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Rotor-2Second League - Group 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Spartak KostromaCup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KvantSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Salyut-BelgorodSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FK Spartak TambovCup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| OrelSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Rodina Moskva IIISecond League - Group 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ryazan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Avangard Kursk recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotor-2Second League - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KvantSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Salyut-BelgorodSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| OrelSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Rodina Moskva IIISecond League - Group 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KalugaCup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Metallurg LipetskSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Zenit PenzaSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kristall MEZCup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Arsenal Tula IISecond League - Group 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Avangard Kursk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ryazan are ranked 5 in Central, with 40 points from 21 games.
Avangard Kursk are ranked 8 in Central, with 30 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 56 |
| 2 | FK Spartak Tambov | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 12 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Shumbrat | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Saturn Ramenskoye | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 40 |
| 5 | Ryazan | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 13 | 22 | 40 |
| 6 | Salyut-Belgorod | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Metallurg Lipetsk | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Avangard Kursk | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Rodina Moskva III | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Strogino | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | SKA Khabarovsk II | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 24 |
| 12 | Zenit Penza | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 23 |
| 13 | Orel | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | Rotor-2 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 14 |
| 15 | Arsenal Tula II | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 44 | -25 | 14 |
| 16 | Kvant | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 22 | 64 | -42 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.