Premier League · Regular Season - 5
Heart of Lions3–2Ashanti Gold
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Kpandu stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–2
- 90-minute score
- 3–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Heart of Lions vs Ashanti Gold: match review and analysis
Heart of Lions vs Ashanti Gold in Premier League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Heart of Lions recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Ashanti Gold recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Heart of Lions | Ashanti Gold |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Heart of Lions: (1.09 weighted goals scored + 1.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ashanti Gold: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 0.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.08 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Heart of Lions recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young ApostlesPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Swedru All BlacksPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Asante KotokoPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Aduana StarsPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MedeamaPremier League | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| SamartexPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| NationsPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Aduana StarsPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| KarelaPremier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| VisionPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Heart of Lions’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ashanti Gold recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debibi UnitedPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Basake Holy StarsPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VisionPremier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Port CityPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| King FaisalDivision One League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| PAC AcademyDivision One League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nsuopun FidelityDivision One League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SkyyDivision One League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| RospakDivision One League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| UCC YoungstersDivision One League | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ashanti Gold’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Heart of Lions are ranked 7 in Premier League, with 8 points from 5 games.
Ashanti Gold are ranked 9 in Premier League, with 7 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Samartex | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Port City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Aduana Stars | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Basake Holy Stars | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Hearts of Oak | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Heart of Lions | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Ashanti Gold | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Bechem United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Karela | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Vision | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Swedru All Blacks | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Debibi United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Berekum Chelsea | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Young Apostles | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Dreams | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.