Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · Group 8 - 5
Bembibre2–0La Virgen del Camino
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Bembibre vs La Virgen del Camino: match review and analysis
Bembibre vs La Virgen del Camino in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Bembibre recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 19. La Virgen del Camino recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses, with 15 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bembibre | La Virgen del Camino |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bembibre: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 1.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
La Virgen del Camino: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bembibre recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GuijueloTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Atlético MansillésTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Becerril CamposTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| ArandinaTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| UD Santa MartaTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| La Virgen del CaminoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Bembibre’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
La Virgen del Camino recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TuréganoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Calasanz de SoriaTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Salamanca IITercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| MojadosTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AlmazánTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Becerril CamposTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ArandinaTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8 | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from La Virgen del Camino’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Bembibre are ranked 4 in Tercera: Group 8, with 10 points from 5 games.
La Virgen del Camino are ranked 7 in Tercera: Group 8, with 9 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burgos Promesas | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | UD Santa Marta | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Atlético Mansillés | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bembibre | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Cristo Atlético | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Cultural Leonesa II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | La Virgen del Camino | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Arandina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Almazán | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Palencia CF | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Calasanz de Soria | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Villaralbo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 | Salamanca II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Guijuelo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Turégano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 | Unionistas II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 |
| 17 | Mirandés II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Colegios Diocesanos | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.