NPFL · Regular Season - 7
Doma United1–0Warri Wolves
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- NPFL
- Venue
- Pantami Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Doma United vs Warri Wolves: match review and analysis
Doma United vs Warri Wolves in NPFL on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Doma United recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Warri Wolves recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 6 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Doma United | Warri Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Doma United: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Warri Wolves: (0.48 weighted goals scored + 1.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Doma United recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katsina UnitedNPFL | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Plateau UnitedNPFL | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Kano PillarsNPFL | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| EnyimbaNPFL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Inter LagosNPFL | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sporting LagosNPFL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Abia WarriorsNPFL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sunshine StarsNPFL | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Katsina UnitedNPFL | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| HeartlandNPFL | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Doma United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Warri Wolves recent form
0.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enugu RangersNPFL | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Shooting StarsNPFL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Niger TornadoesNPFL | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kwara UnitedNPFL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rivers UnitedNPFL | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Bendel InsuranceNPFL | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bida LionsFederation Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Abia WarriorsNPFL | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kano PillarsNPFL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Plateau UnitedNPFL | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Warri Wolves’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
NPFL — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Doma United are ranked 3 in Premier League, with 13 points from 7 games.
Warri Wolves are ranked 18 in Premier League, with 7 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Doma United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Barau FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Bendel Insurance | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Kano Pillars | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Plateau United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Kwara United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Ikorodu City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Sporting Lagos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Katsina United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Niger Tornadoes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Shooting Stars | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Nasarawa United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Enyimba | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Ranchers Bees | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Warri Wolves | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Inter Lagos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
| 20 | Kun Khalifat FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.