Botola 2 · Regular Season - 2
Chabab Mohammédia0–1USM Oujda
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Botola 2
- Venue
- Stade El Bachir
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda: match review and analysis
Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda in Botola 2 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Chabab Mohammédia recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 18. USM Oujda recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 10 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Chabab Mohammédia | USM Oujda |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Chabab Mohammédia: (1.02 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
USM Oujda: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 1.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Chabab Mohammédia recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yacoub El MansourBotola 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KAC KenitraBotola 2 | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Raja Beni MellalBotola 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Stade MarocainBotola 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Widad TémaraBotola 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chabab Atl. KhenifraBotola 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Riadi SalmiBotola 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Chabab Ben GuerirCup | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Mouloudia OujdaBotola 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| El MassiraBotola 2 | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Chabab Mohammédia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
USM Oujda recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mouloudia OujdaBotola 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Widad TémaraBotola 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Chabab Atl. KhenifraBotola 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Riadi SalmiBotola 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Union Sportive BoujaadBotola 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mouloudia OujdaBotola 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Racing de CasablancaBotola 2 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Moghreb TetouanBotola 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Wydad FèsBotola 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Stade MarocainBotola 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from USM Oujda’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Botola 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
USM Oujda are ranked 4 in GNEF 2, with 6 points from 2 games.
Chabab Mohammédia are ranked 15 in GNEF 2, with 0 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wydad Fès | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Yacoub El Mansour | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Ittihad Khemisset | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | USM Oujda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | El Massira | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Olympique Safi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Olympique Khouribga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Chabab Ben Guerir | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Mouloudia Oujda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Olympique Dcheïra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Riadi Salmi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Union Sportive Boujaad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Stade Marocain | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | KAC Kenitra | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Chabab Mohammédia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Chabab Atl. Khenifra | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.