Segunda División · 2nd Phase - 21
Fenix2–0Uruguay Montevideo
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- Parque Capurro
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo: match review and analysis
Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo in Segunda División on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Fenix recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 19. Uruguay Montevideo recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 9 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fenix | Uruguay Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fenix: (1.37 weighted goals scored + 1.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Uruguay Montevideo: (0.76 weighted goals scored + 1.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fenix recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OrientalSegunda División | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Boston RiverCopa Uruguay | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ColónSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CA River PlateSegunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| RentistasSegunda División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ColónCopa Uruguay | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| MiramarSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Liverpool MontevideoCopa Uruguay | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TacuaremboSegunda División | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Plaza ColoniaSegunda División | Home | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fenix’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Uruguay Montevideo recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RentistasSegunda División | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| MiramarSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TacuaremboSegunda División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Plaza ColoniaSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| La LuzSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CerritoSegunda División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AtenasSegunda División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PaysanduSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sportivo HuracanSegunda División | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| CA River PlateSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Uruguay Montevideo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Fenix are ranked 3 in 1st Phase, with 11 points from 6 games.
Uruguay Montevideo are ranked 6 in 1st Phase, with 9 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Fenix | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Sportivo Huracan | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Colón | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Miramar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Paysandu | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Tacuarembo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
Fenix are ranked 8 in 2nd Phase, with 29 points from 21 games.
Uruguay Montevideo are ranked 14 in 2nd Phase, with 17 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Rentistas | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 33 |
| 3 | Oriental | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Plaza Colonia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 32 |
| 5 | CA River Plate | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 30 |
| 6 | Colón | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 30 |
| 7 | Cerrito | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 29 |
| 8 | Fenix | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | La Luz | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 | Sportivo Huracan | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Paysandu | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Miramar | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 25 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 17 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.