Segunda División · Regular Season - 8
Las Palmas2–2Valladolid
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- Gran Canaria
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–2
- 90-minute score
- 2–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Las Palmas vs Valladolid: match review and analysis
Las Palmas vs Valladolid in Segunda División on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Las Palmas recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 15. Valladolid recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 13 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Las Palmas | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Las Palmas: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 1.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.32 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Valladolid: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 1.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Las Palmas recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EibarSegunda División | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| BurgosSegunda División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CadizSegunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| LeganesSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GironaSegunda División | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| AD Ceuta FCSegunda División | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AlbaceteSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CadizFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| NEOMFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| União de LeiriaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Las Palmas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Valladolid recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CordobaSegunda División | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| AD Ceuta FCSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| OviedoSegunda División | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| FC AndorraSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CadizSegunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EibarSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MallorcaSegunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Sporting GijonFriendlies Clubs | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Gimnástica SegovianaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| GroningenFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Valladolid’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Las Palmas are ranked 11 in Segunda, with 11 points from 8 games.
Valladolid are ranked 14 in Segunda, with 9 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Castellón | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Almeria | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Girona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Burgos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Sabadell | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Granada CF | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Oviedo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Leganes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Valladolid | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Eldense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Celta de Vigo II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 |
| 22 | Albacete | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.