Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 6
Mérida AD2–0Cacereño
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División RFEF - Group 1
- Venue
- Estadio Romano Jose Fouto
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mérida AD vs Cacereño: match review and analysis
Mérida AD vs Cacereño in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Mérida AD recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 22. Cacereño recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 13 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mérida AD | Cacereño |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mérida AD: (1.41 weighted goals scored + 0.55 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cacereño: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 2.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mérida AD recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD LogroñésPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 3–5 | Lost | |
| PonferradinaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MirandesPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Cultural LeonesaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Deportivo La Coruña IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AlcorconFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| LeganesFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Al-NassrFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Benfica BFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Osasuna IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Mérida AD’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cacereño recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD OurensePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Recreativo HuelvaCopa Federacion | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Cultural LeonesaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| UD San PedroCopa Federacion | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo La Coruña IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MirandesPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Unionistas de SalamancaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GévoraFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| VillanovenseFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Cacereño’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cacereño are ranked 4 in Segunda B: Group 1, with 11 points from 6 games.
Mérida AD are ranked 14 in Segunda B: Group 1, with 6 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logroñés | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Lugo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Athletic Club II | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Cacereño | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Mirandes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Zamora | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Racing Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Unión | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Deportivo La Coruña II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Cultural Leonesa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Extremadura 1924 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Mérida AD | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Barakaldo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Real Avilés | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 18 | CD Coria | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 2 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.